PolyBot

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Traders

mebad

0x04dc6448b832e4cdb3be5007b8fc59e091431c45

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2850.145$2.2k$2.1k
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0700.032$134.86$160.14
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0360.004$18.06$126.94
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$750.00
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil0.7000.000$0.00$275.00
Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$80.00
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 09:16Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.0699999998$295.00
08-28 09:15Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.0361304692$145.00
08-28 09:13Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0059712144$60.00
07-05 06:27Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7$275.00
07-04 13:11Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9299999997$170.00
07-04 12:11Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999987$80.00
05-30 08:02Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.2849649985$4.2k
05-30 08:01Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0738761498$750.00
05-30 06:46Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.0171969072$80.00