PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dash6789563

0x04d92e558a35081d8069256b4737028422f68f09

Realised P&L
$-12.86
Volume
$138.1k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$5.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No0.9920.966$5.30$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 09:32Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?BUY0.992$5.45
08-07 06:21Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.9969998776$6.23
08-07 06:20Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$6.20
07-23 06:33Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9629999975$6.18
06-07 07:57Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?BUY0.96$4.23
05-14 09:14Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9689999794$4.00
04-09 17:07Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.992$5.99
04-09 17:06Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.973$5.99
03-17 08:34Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.993$6.12
03-17 08:33Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?SELL0.948$6.11
02-25 03:07Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.953999847$6.16
02-25 03:06Sam Altman in jail by June 30?SELL0.922$6.16
01-12 10:21Sam Altman in jail by June 30?BUY0.992$6.63
12-18 04:50Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 18?BUY0.975$3.43
12-18 04:49Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of December?SELL0.982$3.43