TheYachtFund
0x04d7c77a54dd1e75383e6cc0ca81814be8b6b035
- Realised P&L
- $46.3k
- Volume
- $4.10M
- Markets traded
- 763
- Open portfolio
- $554.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded763
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.446Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.137Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.253Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.492Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.2kat 0.155Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 16:57 | Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3153216374 | $53.92 |
| 10-27 16:52 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09 | $10.37 |
| 10-25 13:43 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.5k |
| 10-23 19:49 | Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8919794442 | $234.32 |
| 10-23 18:45 | Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.33 | $96.50 |
| 10-23 18:44 | Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.33 | $134.50 |
| 10-20 16:03 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.7 | $77.66 |
| 10-19 08:02 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.68805 | $2.1k |
| 10-18 12:44 | Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 10-18 09:49 | Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3317000539 | $79.98 |
| 10-17 12:29 | Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.6358000267 | $381.47 |
| 10-17 12:12 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.29 | $224.71 |
| 10-17 10:03 | Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-16 16:03 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.15 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |