freezecora57
0x04d78c68a50e71976aed4cc1d64614e27746164c
- Realised P&L
- $186.22
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $10.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.450 | 0.505 | $10.10 | +$1.10 |
| Jets vs. Canadiens · Jets | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.64 |
| XRP Up or Down on December 28? · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Heat vs. Mavericks · Heat | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.90 |
| Pistons vs. Bucks · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$281.60 |
| Penguins vs. Canadiens · Penguins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.90 |
| Heat vs. Magic · Heat | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$585.00 |
| Stars vs. Ducks · Ducks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$617.28 |
| Canucks vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$819.84 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.82 |
| Hurricanes vs. Predators · Predators | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$466.92 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights · Hurricanes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Avalanche vs. Kings · Kings | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.98at 0.460Utah vs. Ducks
- +$611.94at 0.580Capitals vs. Sharks
- +$537.60at 0.520Lakers vs. Celtics
- +$420.00at 0.720Trail Blazers vs. Pistons
- +$397.60at 0.290Clippers vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:00 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 06:31 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.68 | $7.75 |
| 04-25 07:09 | Avalanche vs. Kings | BUY | 0.38 | $7.32 |
| 02-10 03:13 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 12-19 15:53 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.45 | $315.90 |
| 12-16 16:06 | Kings vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.57 | $148.21 |
| 12-16 15:46 | Hurricanes vs. Predators | BUY | 0.36 | $466.92 |
| 12-04 18:12 | Trail Blazers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.72 | $64.80 |
| 12-04 17:04 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.39 | $585.00 |
| 12-04 16:32 | Lakers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.52 | $147.68 |
| 12-03 14:06 | Avalanche vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.36 | $166.68 |
| 12-02 15:43 | Utah vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.46 | $523.02 |
| 12-02 15:03 | Stars vs. Devils | BUY | 0.49 | $198.45 |
| 12-02 13:26 | Clippers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.29 | $162.40 |