lagex333
0x04cf3a55f559bd617163a73cfc460e8954a75224
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $769.6k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $600.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? · No | 0.984 | 0.986 | $600.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? · No | 0.952 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.958Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
- +$543.31at 0.982Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
- +$470.05at 0.984Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
- +$414.77at 0.946Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$399.66at 0.987Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | BUY | 0.9843594009 | $600.00 |
| 09-30 02:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999997 | $3.0k |
| 09-26 13:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.9948010394 | $1000.00 |
| 09-26 10:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | SELL | 0.9943294844 | $1.0k |
| 09-25 05:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | BUY | 0.9920008539 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 07:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | SELL | 0.9985104268 | $4.6k |
| 09-24 07:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.9750249729 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9844568349 | $9.3k |
| 09-15 05:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.976 | $5.0k |
| 09-11 05:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $10.0k |
| 09-11 05:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $10.0k |
| 09-10 16:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9818181084 | $1000.00 |
| 09-10 15:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9824232107 | $1000.00 |
| 09-10 14:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9859342674 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 14:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9844434252 | $1000.00 |