rajrachel4952
0x04cab7a57e1f7d7b6fece97d7702ccd73f1cd2fc
- Realised P&L
- $3.04
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.024 | $3.01 | −$6.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.962No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
- +$2.19at 0.964Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.030Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.96at 0.970Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$0.63at 0.278Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 18:57 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $9.47 |
| 05-13 10:23 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $129.50 |
| 05-12 20:57 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $165.93 |
| 05-12 14:15 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $18.10 |
| 05-12 06:53 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $12.56 |
| 04-23 16:50 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $424.42 |
| 04-23 15:09 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $422.23 |
| 04-22 23:21 | Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.018 | $11.86 |
| 04-22 16:29 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.914 | $632.49 |
| 04-22 14:26 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.915 | $633.18 |
| 04-22 04:18 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.06 | $57.81 |
| 04-22 02:07 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.061 | $154.82 |
| 04-21 03:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.16 | $206.24 |
| 04-21 01:35 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.161 | $124.92 |
| 09-08 17:44 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SELL | 0.983 | $18.68 |