tianjiu
0x04c3c537b41ba66495b7ca7f7295ba4010f5095a
- Realised P&L
- $88.93
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $44.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.157 | $44.91 | −$87.67 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.939 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.16at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$18.94at 0.900EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$17.06at 0.890Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$15.34at 0.890EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$8.70at 0.930Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 09:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.919 | $91.90 |
| 04-17 09:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | SELL | 0.957 | $95.70 |
| 03-23 09:56 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.978 | $170.44 |
| 02-28 05:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | SELL | 0.999 | $138.04 |
| 02-03 06:06 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.996 | $131.27 |
| 01-29 09:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | SELL | 0.996 | $122.57 |
| 01-22 08:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | SELL | 0.9802913568 | $118.63 |
| 12-29 05:17 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.43 |
| 12-29 05:16 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.97 |
| 12-06 08:15 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9819999881 | $27.98 |
| 12-06 08:14 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999975 | $60.00 |
| 12-06 08:14 | Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9219999915 | $20.00 |
| 11-12 17:16 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9729999943 | $64.00 |
| 11-12 17:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9679999996 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 15:52 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in October? | BUY | 0.9649999993 | $20.00 |