PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x04b5d7a5CDd86D03A27Aa565EE78AE905a885C12-1773368644246

0x04b5d7a5cdd86d03a27aa565ee78ae905a885c12

Realised P&L
$-172.63
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$1.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0100.004$0.90$1.10
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? · Yes0.4500.160$0.36$0.64
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic · Dayana Yastremska0.3610.000$0.00$1.86
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$2.35
Sun vs. Sach: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.2630.000$0.00$33.29
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.5350.000$0.00$1.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.5310.000$0.00$1.02
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET · Up0.2540.000$0.00$472.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.5160.000$0.00$1.06
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-05? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.3470.000$0.00$2.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 18:42Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
06-20 18:41Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6299999915$20.00
06-20 18:41Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
06-20 18:41Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
06-20 18:35Will Netherlands win the World Cup?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
04-26 20:12Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.16$1.00
04-26 20:12Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.16$1.00
04-26 17:10Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETBUY0.001$0.86
04-26 17:10Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETBUY0.001$0.86
04-26 13:02BNB Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ETBUY0.001$0.86
04-26 13:02BNB Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ETBUY0.001$0.86
04-26 12:30Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)BUY0.0289999724$0.94
04-26 12:20Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)BUY0.1799998704$0.95
04-26 11:59Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.1899998784$0.95
04-26 11:54Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?BUY0.01$0.86