0x04b5d7a5CDd86D03A27Aa565EE78AE905a885C12-1773368644246
0x04b5d7a5cdd86d03a27aa565ee78ae905a885c12
- Realised P&L
- $-172.63
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.14at 0.276Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13?
- +$31.90at 0.305Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys
- +$19.00at 0.050Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$19.00at 0.050Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 31?
- +$18.18at 0.367Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 18:42 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 18:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 18:41 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 18:41 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 18:35 | Will Netherlands win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 04-26 20:12 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 20:12 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 17:10 | Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-26 17:10 | Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-26 13:02 | BNB Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-26 13:02 | BNB Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-26 12:30 | Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $0.94 |
| 04-26 12:20 | Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $0.95 |
| 04-26 11:59 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.95 |
| 04-26 11:54 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in April? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |