0x04b49a218025a0b89aba68dedcdbb7d7b6f67022
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Libertad Loja win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.36at 0.522Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?
- +$1.65at 0.710Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
- +$0.35at 0.895Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:23 | Will Libertad Loja win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:22 | Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:47 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 22:56 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 17:48 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 11:35 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:09 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |