denisdenis05
0x04b45e19e6f0642e1d546f09d68452445512a265
- Realised P&L
- $462.87
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.100 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.031 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.021 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Down | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.63at 0.349Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$116.96at 0.028Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$63.28at 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.16at 0.768Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
- +$3.74at 0.190Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 15:32 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.037587013 | $2.89 |
| 06-25 10:34 | Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 20:23 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 20:23 | Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 19:17 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.55 |
| 06-22 17:34 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5166832651 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 12:37 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | BUY | 0.0649342736 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 10:33 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.3261933356 | $9.40 |
| 06-22 08:23 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3469999764 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 08:23 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3469999764 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 07:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.34 | $29.14 |
| 06-22 07:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.373 | $29.92 |
| 06-22 07:56 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3739999957 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 07:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 15:44 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |