ilovemygff
0x04a80312068ac9ba242608b70e055beac10f3208
- Realised P&L
- $-350.92
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $257.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.263 | $257.05 | −$20.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.44 |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5? · Up | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.42 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.09at 0.785Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
- +$8.82at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$1.31at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$-7.30at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$-7.30at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 00:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6999999971 | $24.00 |
| 03-05 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $4.90 |
| 03-05 20:54 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.72321425 | $28.93 |
| 03-05 20:22 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5? | BUY | 0.0089696825 | $4.00 |
| 03-05 20:21 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5? | BUY | 0.0078790709 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 20:21 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.724 | $7.24 |
| 02-26 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $16.29 |
| 02-26 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.9909999982 | $9.75 |
| 02-26 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $4.85 |
| 02-26 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.84 |
| 02-26 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.71 |
| 02-26 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.88 |
| 02-26 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.62 |
| 02-26 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.19 |
| 02-26 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999541 | $3.88 |