pateljacqueline
0x04a6c19ee94d273f6cd3bfed7ea7d6fdb269acda
- Realised P&L
- $-121.45
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $67.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn vs. Georgia · Georgia | 0.900 | 0.915 | $35.19 | +$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $27.00 | +$8.64 |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.215 | $5.39 | −$13.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.19at 0.750Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
- +$7.48at 0.780Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
- +$4.76at 0.827Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$4.27at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 12?
- +$4.02at 0.750Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:43 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.46 |
| 01-30 18:21 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.50 |
| 01-30 16:38 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.48 |
| 01-30 13:19 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.99 |
| 01-30 12:31 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $41.17 |
| 12-30 08:57 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.32 |
| 12-29 21:09 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.13 |
| 12-29 20:01 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.56 |
| 12-29 19:54 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.73 |
| 12-29 19:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.40 |
| 10-31 14:50 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.95 |
| 10-30 18:13 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9849999997 | $35.98 |
| 09-29 18:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.9989999721 | $19.44 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.44 |
| 09-29 02:51 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.20 |