PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BP2025

0x049aa4e44dcdaa109dad82503553252f4eb0b22a

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$695.6k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5060.410$819.99$192.49
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2970.575$287.51+$138.79
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0900.067$165.15$57.93
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0060.091$163.66+$152.87
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.305$152.50$52.50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0180.031$66.43+$28.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 01:28Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.082$12.24
09-13 01:25Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.025$3.54
09-10 23:38Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.0473703704$3.84
09-10 23:37Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.062$31.00
09-07 21:18Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.048303525$4.65
09-06 21:24Washington State vs. WashingtonSELL0.041$19.36
09-06 20:47Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.0703179848$23.20
09-06 18:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$127.50
08-24 19:06Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$250.00
08-24 19:04Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.0993979893$16.51
08-18 02:50Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$245.00
07-16 22:28Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?SELL0.023066264$18.18
07-16 22:24Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?SELL0.031$2.17
07-16 22:24Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?SELL0.033$1.32
07-16 22:22Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?SELL0.0323333333$3.88