0x049798eca8837ada0a2b8fbb36626d3b1bae1eba
0x049798eca8837ada0a2b8fbb36626d3b1bae1eba
- Realised P&L
- $-0.89
- Volume
- $813.65
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $8.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.585 | $4.87 | +$0.71 |
| Spread: Western Kentucky (-2.5) · Missouri State | 0.500 | 0.240 | $2.03 | −$2.20 |
| Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5) · Arkansas State | 0.560 | 0.285 | $1.43 | −$1.38 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.24 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.73 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.59 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
| Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 53.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) · Cleveland Guardians | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Spread: Oklahoma (-3.5) · Oklahoma | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.46 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.41at 0.187Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$8.65at 0.360Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
- +$6.60at 0.605Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$6.25at 0.500Spread: Miami (FL) (-23.5)
- +$5.84at 0.462Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 23:36 | Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Bryce Young: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.16 | $1.90 |
| 10-03 21:00 | Spread: Tennessee (-3.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $4.86 |
| 09-28 23:49 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999638 | $4.24 |
| 09-26 19:31 | Spread: Florida (-3.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $4.90 |
| 09-20 15:47 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299998864 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 15:45 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 09-20 15:45 | Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4799999804 | $3.92 |
| 09-20 15:44 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.549999965 | $3.93 |
| 09-20 15:44 | Spread: Broncos (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999581 | $3.92 |
| 09-19 22:31 | Spread: Florida (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 09-19 22:31 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.59 | $3.93 |
| 09-08 01:04 | SMU vs. Florida State | BUY | 0.5799999395 | $3.64 |
| 09-05 23:34 | Spread: LSU (-7.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $5.89 |