PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0494bfcbf667e1707d017cca25ac8ec2430c7702

Realised P&L
$-37.66
Volume
$926.57
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$56.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: KC (-5.5) · KC0.5200.505$38.34$1.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.1280.100$4.78$1.35
Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5) · Nicholls State0.4870.415$3.50$0.61
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23? · Yes0.9100.930$2.30+$0.05
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0060.006$1.00+$0.00
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0260.025$0.98$0.02
1H Spread: Alabama (-10.5) · Florida State0.5000.485$0.97$0.03
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.2160.207$0.96$0.04
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0080.007$0.94$0.06
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0300.028$0.93$0.07
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? · No0.6750.589$0.87$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:50Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.006$1.00
09-19 15:351H Spread: Alabama (-10.5)BUY0.5$1.00
09-19 15:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?BUY0.675$1.00
09-19 14:29Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5SELL0.14$0.24
09-19 14:25Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0259999996$1.00
09-19 14:15Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5BUY0.78$1.00
09-19 14:01Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-19 14:01Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-19 13:59Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)BUY0.5$1.11
09-19 13:58Spread: KC (-5.5)BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-19 13:58Spread: KC (-5.5)BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-19 13:57Spread: KC (-5.5)BUY0.5199999939$37.48
09-19 13:57Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-19 13:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?BUY0.9099999919$2.25
09-19 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00