Jocelyn
0x0490ccd93e08f0907a1849593c172371e9752814
- Realised P&L
- $38.42
- Volume
- $388.56
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $25.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 1.000 | $22.73 | +$17.73 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.025 | $1.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.045 | $1.01 | −$3.99 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.015 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$8.05at 0.180Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$4.48at 0.650Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.33at 0.390Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$0.24at 0.840Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 04:53 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0224390246 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 04:50 | Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2222222222 | $5.00 |
| 01-06 04:48 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0334831712 | $2.00 |
| 01-06 04:14 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.23 |
| 01-05 06:38 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 12-18 08:04 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 12-18 07:59 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 12-18 07:56 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $13.05 |
| 12-15 07:18 | No airdrop in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 12-15 07:16 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 12-14 12:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $10.23 |
| 11-17 08:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 11-17 08:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 15:03 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.9749998578 | $6.00 |
| 10-10 06:30 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |