PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Jocelyn

0x0490ccd93e08f0907a1849593c172371e9752814

Realised P&L
$38.42
Volume
$388.56
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$25.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2201.000$22.73+$17.73
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0330.025$1.52$0.48
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.045$1.01$3.99
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.015$0.67$0.33
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-06 04:53Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0224390246$1.00
01-06 04:50Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2222222222$5.00
01-06 04:48Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0334831712$2.00
01-06 04:14First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL0.67$5.23
01-05 06:38US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
12-18 08:04First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY0.64$5.00
12-18 07:59Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?BUY0.16$5.00
12-18 07:56Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.47$13.05
12-15 07:18No airdrop in 2025?BUY0.08$3.00
12-15 07:16Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
12-14 12:02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.86$10.23
11-17 08:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17?BUY0.5199999861$3.00
11-17 08:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
10-24 15:03Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?BUY0.9749998578$6.00
10-10 06:30Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.2$5.00