PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0490410D659E0A27e33Ce5A0c50C4591aCF74526-1774573243899

0x0490410d659e0a27e33ce5a0c50c4591acf74526

Realised P&L
$-788.11
Volume
$28.7k
Markets traded
895
Open portfolio
$72.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded895
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? · Yes0.2260.230$8.56+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27? · Yes0.4710.475$4.84+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.3420.210$4.43−$2.77
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.3200.335$3.77+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? · No0.5920.615$3.74+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 25? · Yes0.3770.305$2.92−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26? · Yes0.2150.250$2.79+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.3950.405$2.46+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 26? · No0.4890.500$2.45+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25? · No0.6040.615$2.44+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26? · No0.7240.725$2.40+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 26? · Yes0.2000.195$2.34−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 27? · Yes0.4480.435$2.33−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27? · Yes0.1840.165$2.15−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25? · Yes0.4300.330$1.84−$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 14:30Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?BUY0.2$1.20
09-25 14:29Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?BUY0.1699999887$1.20
09-25 14:28Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27?BUY0.5899998869$1.20
09-25 14:26Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.25$1.20
09-25 14:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.2299999693$1.20
09-25 14:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.25$1.20
09-25 14:20Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.6299999685$1.20
09-25 14:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.25$1.20
09-25 14:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26?BUY0.2299999693$1.20
09-25 14:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27?BUY0.4899999183$1.20
09-25 14:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27?BUY0.4899999183$1.20
09-25 14:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?BUY0.6299999685$1.20
09-25 14:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.329999967$1.20
09-25 13:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26?BUY0.6199999587$1.20
09-25 13:38Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.32$1.20