0x0490410D659E0A27e33Ce5A0c50C4591aCF74526-1774573243899
0x0490410d659e0a27e33ce5a0c50c4591acf74526
- Realised P&L
- $-788.11
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $72.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.18at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$45.89at 0.591Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$41.50at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$36.83at 0.465Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$33.85at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.5899998869 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.20 |