0x048fbb32e869d8ff869a949b2c8701fdec4cf578
0x048fbb32e869d8ff869a949b2c8701fdec4cf578
- Realised P&L
- $2.32
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $4.58 | −$5.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.56at 0.316Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?
- +$8.04at 0.455Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.06at 0.552Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
- +$-1.07at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?
- +$-1.73at 0.231Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.0345740528 | $0.30 |
| 10-09 13:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.74 | $24.66 |
| 10-09 12:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.2179999832 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 16:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 15:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.1879999977 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.78 |
| 10-06 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5320196845 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.13 |
| 10-06 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 06:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.2069756976 | $4.60 |