joeblack75
0x048eb71488ca0ea77f35edd81046e67182e3233f
- Realised P&L
- $2.23
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 591
- Open portfolio
- $3.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded591
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.56at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$11.21at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?
- +$8.64at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?
- +$7.80at 0.220LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$6.24at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:43 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:35 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 09-23 07:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.62 |
| 09-22 21:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.55 |
| 09-22 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-22 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-22 00:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 00:34 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-21 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |