joeblack75
0x048eb71488ca0ea77f35edd81046e67182e3233f
- Realised P&L
- $8.56
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.61at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$8.88at 0.468Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?
- +$6.05at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?
- +$5.50at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?
- +$4.68at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 08-05 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 08-05 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-05 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.64 |
| 08-04 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 08-04 08:52 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.36 |
| 08-04 08:49 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 08-03 08:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |