pinguu
0x0487798672dae021616ff2a19ec1761b58d0d452
- Realised P&L
- $-10.87
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $2.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.17at 0.089Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?
- +$42.09at 0.226 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
- +$28.03at 0.240Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
- +$21.25at 0.320Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
- +$19.00at 0.240Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 21:31 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.62 |
| 06-17 18:30 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0239999881 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 18:31 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-16 18:30 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999927 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 20:25 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999895 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 01:31 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 04:56 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999556 | $2.00 |
| 04-18 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.22 |
| 03-23 04:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.78 |
| 03-08 02:16 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 02:39 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 03-02 09:17 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.097 | $1.16 |
| 02-26 04:33 | Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" in Wisconsin on Thursday? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 02-23 20:03 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 02-22 14:53 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.50 |