PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x04821f35DaC7d38849122e01A88E13b30F94a110-1733247154874

0x04821f35dac7d38849122e01a88e13b30f94a110

Realised P&L
$-32.78
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$40.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9981.000$29.04+$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9980.996$10.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 18:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?BUY0.9979999174$11.00
10-13 03:26Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.9959999693$31.50
10-09 09:41Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9979999697$26.00
10-09 02:07Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?BUY0.9939999999$48.90
10-06 04:48Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.999$12.00
10-04 03:20Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?BUY0.995999983$39.30
09-27 15:16Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999817$22.00
09-25 20:01Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?BUY0.996$31.00
09-23 02:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?BUY0.998$11.00
09-22 11:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?BUY0.995$30.50
09-20 02:44Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?BUY0.998$10.00
09-07 10:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?BUY0.9973693897$37.50
09-05 08:48Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.995$23.20
09-04 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 6?BUY0.998$21.00
08-31 13:49Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?BUY0.9969999999$19.60