Fms07
0x047f16e758d26cbe95524f391a996e29a7f8ebf0
- Realised P&L
- $-31.37
- Volume
- $57.08
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $20.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-55.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.940 | 1.000 | $19.42 | +$1.16 |
| Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.980 | 0.988 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 26.5 · Over | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.42 |
| Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.924San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5
- +$0.05at 0.951Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
- +$0.01at 0.989Wild vs. Stars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:18 | Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:18 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9399999979 | $18.26 |
| 09-24 11:45 | Japan vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:02 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:23 | Wild vs. Stars | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:35 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.9489999763 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 18:32 | Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $31.42 |