0x0474c965ebf5a56850614b834c03a6d8414b4f5a
0x0474c965ebf5a56850614b834c03a6d8414b4f5a
- Realised P&L
- $33.67
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $2.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.018 | $2.43 | −$2.57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$19.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$9.10at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$7.61at 0.125Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29?
- +$7.56at 0.216Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:20 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.11 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $1.07 |