levencomp
0x047460b3f4c0f6c700c6ef31c6ed75289e352894
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $61.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $117.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.075 | $117.79 | −$172.62 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.94 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.44 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 14? · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.31at 0.267US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$11.00at 0.730Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$6.65at 0.280Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.022Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$-1.48at 0.850Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:09 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.56 |
| 08-03 09:07 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $74.85 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1847363069 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1793721973 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 14:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.16 | $124.45 |
| 04-12 14:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.84 | $124.45 |
| 04-12 14:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.85 | $125.93 |
| 04-12 14:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.16 | $23.99 |
| 02-28 22:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0339999998 | $199.90 |
| 02-28 21:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.1160000001 | $99.95 |
| 02-28 18:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4489999996 | $499.50 |
| 02-28 18:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4599999998 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 17:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5444281839 | $499.75 |
| 02-28 07:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.9079499998 | $998.75 |
| 02-28 07:31 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.8989398289 | $524.54 |