PolyBot

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Traders

milyaruzhkova

0x0474289fd015a18bf2944a7f49cfacc99a3c8757

Realised P&L
$-12.98
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$2.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election? · Yes0.6400.650$2.03+$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.7560.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$3.00
Trump approval >45% on July 1? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrino · Andrea Pellegrino0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 19:37Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?BUY0.64$2.00
09-28 19:37Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?BUY0.64$1.00
08-14 19:48Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
07-30 20:08Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.756$2.00
07-30 20:07San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea PellegrinoBUY0.63$1.00
07-30 20:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.51$1.22
06-15 19:29AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
06-15 19:29Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo GastonBUY0.7$1.00
05-11 19:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8299997053$2.00
04-05 19:22Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.7$2.00
04-05 19:21Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.8$1.00
04-05 19:20Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.81$1.09
03-20 19:16Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
03-20 19:16Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.74$1.00
03-20 19:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.42$1.61