stodiff
0x047241ea408c5cf30468db6023c940e02053e4a4
- Realised P&L
- $-434.29
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $503.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-40.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No | 0.825 | 0.495 | $297.92 | −$198.40 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.485 | $112.10 | −$86.67 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.400 | $93.52 | −$105.20 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 13:37 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8246498777 | $496.32 |
| 08-29 09:47 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $198.72 |
| 08-19 15:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8599999916 | $98.77 |
| 08-19 15:04 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $99.00 |
| 08-19 15:01 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |