KevinMatte9
0x047208474fa7637edb4885d95c3db802321bc62f
- Realised P&L
- $-553.20
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $76.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.335 | $33.50 | −$22.50 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.125 | $31.66 | −$61.97 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.080 | $10.34 | −$63.77 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.085 | $1.23 | −$3.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.17at 0.458Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$121.90at 0.580Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$100.97at 0.367Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
- +$92.90at 0.482Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
- +$80.17at 0.360Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 00:01 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.56 | $25.28 |
| 05-26 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0100866646 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 05:23 | Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during events in Rockland County? | BUY | 0.285805 | $28.58 |
| 05-21 01:58 | Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $25.20 |
| 05-17 22:59 | Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19? | BUY | 0.62 | $7.19 |
| 05-15 00:32 | Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.56 |
| 05-12 00:02 | Will "Right" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? | BUY | 0.080408 | $8.04 |
| 05-06 02:31 | Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.74 |
| 05-05 04:37 | Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? | BUY | 0.451271 | $45.13 |
| 04-13 02:08 | Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? | SELL | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 04-07 03:17 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.76 |
| 04-07 03:15 | Will Carmax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.17 |
| 04-07 02:47 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | BUY | 0.65 | $100.75 |
| 03-10 21:15 | Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $117.29 |
| 03-07 07:03 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.451066358 | $116.92 |