miretsss
0x046b55baff90da265e30466a53781e1d9d3f8b65
- Realised P&L
- $-18.89
- Volume
- $876.17
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $68.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.955 | $57.36 | +$12.91 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.025 | $8.17 | −$21.83 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.018 | $3.33 | −$16.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.57at 0.580US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$4.09at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$4.09at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$2.93at 0.637Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$2.34at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2686727566 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 06:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $31.08 |
| 04-05 19:48 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 19:46 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 19:41 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1109999952 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 19:41 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $51.56 |
| 04-01 10:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999983 | $44.45 |
| 04-01 10:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 03-31 20:06 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.579999983 | $30.00 |