PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x046073571f6d5f891437596149afc84ef037a106

Realised P&L
$115.63
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$377.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.6601.000$302.88+$102.88
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? · Yes0.6701.000$74.59+$24.59
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4300.001$0.03$24.97
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) · Sunderland AFC0.4000.001$0.03$19.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5800.001$0.01$14.99
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Racing Club? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:34Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4699999944$30.00
09-16 13:29Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Racing Club?BUY0.0699999999$20.00
09-16 12:54Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)BUY0.4$20.00
09-16 12:53Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6599999989$200.00
09-16 12:51Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5799999992$15.00
09-16 12:50Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-16 12:46Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999991$25.00
09-16 12:45Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.7$50.00
09-08 17:41Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)BUY0.2099999983$10.00
09-08 17:41Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerBUY0.269999993$5.00
09-08 17:40Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.4$40.00
09-08 17:40Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
09-08 17:39Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
09-03 02:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.9874850739$78.53
08-31 21:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.999$9.00