0x046073571f6d5f891437596149afc84ef037a106
- Realised P&L
- $115.63
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $377.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $302.88 | +$102.88 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.670 | 1.000 | $74.59 | +$24.59 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$24.97 |
| Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) · Sunderland AFC | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$19.98 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$14.99 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Racing Club? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.24at 0.465Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
- +$32.73at 0.487Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?
- +$20.18at 0.717Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
- +$10.51at 0.848Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$6.18at 0.627Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:34 | Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Racing Club? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 12:54 | Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 12:53 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.6599999989 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 12:51 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 12:46 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 12:45 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 17:41 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:41 | Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 17:40 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 09-08 17:40 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:39 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 02:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9874850739 | $78.53 |
| 08-31 21:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.00 |