0x045b1e9e3e767dc9c815b8628a0d2a7d610054dd
0x045b1e9e3e767dc9c815b8628a0d2a7d610054dd
- Realised P&L
- $13.33
- Volume
- $235.75
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $8.60
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.805 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.715 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.660 | 0.710 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.730 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.665 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.355 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.385 | $0.75 | −$0.24 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.145 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.230 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.345 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 23:03 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:01 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:46 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:46 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:16 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:59 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:36 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |