PolyBot

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Traders

0x045b1e9e3e767dc9c815b8628a0d2a7d610054dd

0x045b1e9e3e767dc9c815b8628a0d2a7d610054dd

Realised P&L
$13.33
Volume
$235.75
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$8.60

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.5900.805$1.36+$0.36
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.6000.715$1.19+$0.19
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No0.6600.710$1.08+$0.08
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7500.730$0.97−$0.03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7700.665$0.86−$0.14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.4300.355$0.83−$0.17
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.5100.385$0.75−$0.24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2700.145$0.54−$0.46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.230$0.51−$0.49
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.6800.345$0.51−$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 23:05Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-12 23:03Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-12 15:01Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-12 06:46Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-11 22:46Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 14:32Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-11 03:17Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-10 19:16Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-09 15:24Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 05:15SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 21:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 13:09WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 03:59WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-07 17:26Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-07 16:36Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00