0x0459510d4609Cb842Eb5b25216CAC90a96Ec0FCB-1781463236238
0x0459510d4609cb842eb5b25216cac90a96ec0fcb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $98.1k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $7.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.052 | $7.80 | −$2.20 |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: France (-4.5) · France | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.61at 0.188Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$285.51at 0.316Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$274.62at 0.151Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$261.82at 0.639Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$215.24at 0.106Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 19:28 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:22 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 19:12 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 16:38 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.0073729321 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:37 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.01304755 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:16 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:21 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.3824129265 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 14:20 | Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Talent Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S | SELL | 0.9684173415 | $265.48 |
| 08-23 11:53 | Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Talent Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S | BUY | 0.4741978032 | $130.00 |
| 08-22 14:59 | Honor of Kings: Wolves vs JD Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S | SELL | 0.999 | $145.06 |
| 08-22 12:09 | Honor of Kings: Wolves vs JD Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S | BUY | 0.6886227538 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 16:17 | Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A | BUY | 0.5876689115 | $30.00 |
| 08-21 16:17 | Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A | BUY | 0.5821698087 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 16:15 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999997 | $210.00 |