PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ladsontop

0x04565c2220f77897222dec11f610e7a9535b3235

Realised P&L
$245.29
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$124.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.7700.665$43.18−$6.82
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2? · No0.8200.880$4.40+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1? · No0.7600.870$4.35+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 1? · No0.8000.820$4.10+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1? · No0.7600.810$4.05+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 2? · No0.7800.780$3.90+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1? · No0.7000.745$3.73+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 2? · No0.7600.745$3.73−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2? · No0.7300.735$3.67+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? · No0.7000.730$3.65+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2? · No0.7200.710$3.54−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1? · No0.7000.705$3.52+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2? · No0.6600.675$3.38+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2? · No0.7000.660$3.30−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2? · No0.6700.655$3.27−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:12Solana Up or Down - October 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.95$4.75
10-01 07:11XRP Up or Down - October 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.95$4.75
10-01 07:09Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.95$4.75
10-01 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.9299999785$4.75
10-01 05:39Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.95$4.75
10-01 05:37XRP Up or Down - October 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.95$4.75
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 1?BUY0.63$3.15
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 1?BUY0.8$4.00
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?BUY0.76$3.80
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?BUY0.7$3.50
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1?BUY0.61$3.05
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?BUY0.73$3.65
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.7199999599$3.59
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 2?BUY0.78$3.90
10-01 05:33Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2?BUY0.7$3.50