apolloXIII
0x0454e328da48974fc38803b54aadfa910c6068fd
- Realised P&L
- $-25.77
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $2.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.00at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?
- +$10.93at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 15?
- +$4.69at 0.437Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$3.95at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$3.38at 0.517Solana Up or Down - September 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.0218478418 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.0219383773 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.7599998521 | $3.70 |
| 09-14 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.50 |