PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x24E34EAbfA31Aa07Cc53D501Ee5e2DC2a335e2dD-1776689165289

0x0450e4a64627072fb0002544c63483ac6d31e5bf

Realised P&L
$-51.43
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$51.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1000.470$9.40+$7.40
Will Gorka Guruzeta win the 2026-27 LaLiga Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0650.320$6.39+$5.09
Will Daylen Lile win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · Yes0.1300.240$4.80+$2.20
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? · No0.0450.044$4.35−$0.03
Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0900.055$2.31−$1.49
Will You Can See Everything win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0920.080$2.13−$0.32
Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0880.075$2.10−$0.36
Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1200.095$2.06−$0.54
Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.0900.075$1.83−$0.37
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.1000.085$1.70−$0.30
Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0700.070$1.64−$0.00
Will the earnings call not air? · Yes0.0490.029$1.52−$0.98
Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.0590.021$1.42−$2.68
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · No0.0680.058$1.40−$0.24
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? · No0.0770.057$1.27−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 00:11Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?SELL0.07$0.47
10-16 23:36Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1$2.00
10-16 23:25Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.048$0.96
10-16 23:05Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?BUY0.0579999982$1.34
10-16 22:44Will "Escape from Tarkov" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?BUY0.05$1.00
10-16 22:37Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?SELL0.088$1.76
10-16 22:12Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.0559999996$1.14
10-16 21:36Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?SELL0.05$1.00
10-16 20:08Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?SELL0.04$0.80
10-16 20:08Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?BUY0.0681686719$1.64
10-16 19:47Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.0599999993$1.60
10-16 19:37Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.0749999989$1.64
10-16 19:37Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.05$1.00
10-16 19:12Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?SELL0.11$4.39
10-16 19:06Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.07$1.40