0x24E34EAbfA31Aa07Cc53D501Ee5e2DC2a335e2dD-1776689165289
0x0450e4a64627072fb0002544c63483ac6d31e5bf
- Realised P&L
- $-51.43
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $51.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.90at 0.104Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$2.33at 0.104Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$1.59at 0.077Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.95at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$0.78at 0.104Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:11 | Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.47 |
| 10-16 23:36 | Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 23:25 | Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.96 |
| 10-16 23:05 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | BUY | 0.0579999982 | $1.34 |
| 10-16 22:44 | Will "Escape from Tarkov" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 22:37 | Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.088 | $1.76 |
| 10-16 22:12 | Will Thibaut Courtois record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $1.14 |
| 10-16 21:36 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:08 | Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 10-16 20:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | BUY | 0.0681686719 | $1.64 |
| 10-16 19:47 | Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.0599999993 | $1.60 |
| 10-16 19:37 | Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0749999989 | $1.64 |
| 10-16 19:37 | Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 19:12 | Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.39 |
| 10-16 19:06 | Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |