0x044c1e0dc4c6bbdc3e3002185f280c1f08919818
0x044c1e0dc4c6bbdc3e3002185f280c1f08919818
- Realised P&L
- $12.83
- Volume
- $145.32
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $19.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Fabian Marozsan (-1.5) vs Taro Daniel (+1.5) · Taro Daniel | 0.500 | 0.535 | $19.11 | +$1.25 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.42 |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.15 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.29at 0.310Falcons vs. Packers
- +$11.07at 0.500Packers Team Total: O/U 26.5
- +$-0.96at 0.500Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Martin Damm (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:23 | Packers Team Total: O/U 26.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $22.15 |
| 09-25 03:22 | Falcons vs. Packers | SELL | 0.999 | $46.82 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Martin Damm (+1.5) | SELL | 0.48 | $14.12 |
| 09-24 22:10 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.3099999983 | $14.53 |