PolyBot

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Traders

trumpkingi

0x0446e62200bfe4d5347a164d21c90ee367305439

Realised P&L
$275.82
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$12.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3? · No0.9200.930$12.79+$0.14
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$3.09
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,500,000 and 15,000,000? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$5.62
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be less than 50? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$5.82
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 22? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$9.85
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$2.02
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$29.87
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$139.68
Will "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$8.67
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 14 be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$3.26
Will Bitcoin reach $132,000 October 6-12? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$8.50
Will Nike say "Tariff" during earnings call? · No0.1120.000$0.00−$16.07
Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$5.30
Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$38.47
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 11:29Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?BUY0.95$13.90
04-04 01:22Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.22$34.73
04-03 05:29Chennaiyin FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.25$49.84
04-01 14:36Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?BUY0.11$32.23
03-31 02:12Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?BUY0.07$38.47
03-30 07:56Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?BUY0.21$29.87
03-26 00:48Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March?BUY0.27$139.68
03-07 09:33Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?BUY0.29$91.90
03-05 07:17O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.17$41.71
03-03 06:37Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 5?BUY0.034$7.68
02-21 19:08Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?BUY0.035$5.30
02-18 16:52Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 19?BUY0.012$2.24
02-18 09:28Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340?BUY0.019$2.02
02-18 04:15Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be less than 50?BUY0.024$5.82
02-17 02:46Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20?BUY0.011$1.63