0x0446c66bae920bc47190d6ce74fa6640b4e2951c
0x0446c66bae920bc47190d6ce74fa6640b4e2951c
- Realised P&L
- $7.69
- Volume
- $128.96
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $21.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.605 | $11.00 | +$1.91 |
| Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.475 | $10.11 | −$0.53 |
| SMU vs. Louisville · SMU | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.09 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.69 |
| Spread: Delaware (-4.5) · Coastal Carolina | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.90at 0.500Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- +$16.72at 0.540Spread: Texas State (-2.5)
- +$2.85at 0.701Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:55 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.69 | $6.56 |
| 09-20 18:59 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.31 | $9.69 |
| 09-19 15:37 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.4599999908 | $21.09 |
| 09-19 15:36 | Spread: Delaware (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 15:34 | Spread: Texas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999978 | $19.63 |