gyt231
0x043f07c0602cdaeef4d97eb02470608cc838654a
- Realised P&L
- $102.40
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $41.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.980 | $24.34 | +$0.24 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.987 | 0.996 | $14.52 | +$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $2.66 | −$4.94 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.32at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.52at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.38at 0.942Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$0.29at 0.950Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
- +$0.23at 0.958Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 13:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.19 |
| 07-10 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.41 |
| 07-02 12:59 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 06-09 12:50 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $14.40 |
| 06-09 12:49 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $24.10 |
| 10-30 11:11 | Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $6.30 |
| 10-30 11:10 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9829999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:11 | Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959998376 | $5.30 |
| 09-21 10:10 | Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | BUY | 0.9769998511 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 14:53 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.985999929 | $5.22 |
| 08-22 14:53 | Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.9759999975 | $6.24 |
| 07-14 12:51 | Will Marissa Mayer be the next CEO of X? | BUY | 0.987999943 | $5.48 |
| 07-14 12:51 | Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $6.37 |
| 06-20 12:08 | Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.02 |
| 06-20 12:08 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.9419998967 | $6.22 |