marketwizard
0x043d14d86e29b4d77d6474afdf45d737f41f9aee
- Realised P&L
- $769.15
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.605 | $750.20 | +$206.88 |
| QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.460 | $574.89 | +$173.34 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.815 | $566.42 | +$66.03 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No | 0.861 | 0.910 | $422.64 | +$22.74 |
| QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.220 | $39.10 | +$4.10 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.00at 0.800Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$86.74at 0.649Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
- +$81.67at 0.845Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$71.26at 0.870EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$59.77at 0.870Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 09:14 | QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1969484248 | $35.00 |
| 07-22 14:57 | QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.320541672 | $41.00 |
| 07-22 09:09 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4383427094 | $99.00 |
| 07-18 10:22 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9215086674 | $510.33 |
| 06-30 07:54 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.8542735043 | $199.90 |
| 06-30 07:54 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 06-30 06:06 | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | BUY | 0.9621774181 | $123.00 |
| 06-29 20:05 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.8679157004 | $200.00 |
| 06-29 20:02 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92485575 | $369.94 |
| 06-02 13:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.8k |
| 04-26 08:42 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9898599083 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 10:19 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.95 |
| 03-26 11:34 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.994 | $571.26 |
| 02-04 11:26 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9729999989 | $17.00 |
| 02-02 11:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | BUY | 0.9863539563 | $1.4k |