CFFFG
0x0436356957e7298a6758ac8865df8019fe6682a9
- Realised P&L
- $37.67
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $962.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $561.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? · No | 0.980 | 0.980 | $391.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $9.75 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.40at 0.958Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?
- +$6.79at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
- +$1.27at 0.960Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 11-02 02:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | BUY | 0.98 | $392.00 |
| 11-02 02:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | BUY | 0.94 | $564.00 |
| 10-26 05:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.993 | $420.04 |
| 09-23 11:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | SELL | 0.995 | $36.51 |
| 09-23 11:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | SELL | 0.9946195821 | $999.59 |
| 09-17 00:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.961 | $480.50 |
| 09-17 00:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 06:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.949 | $474.50 |