PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x043321051378d72B71D9F62aAdCE8bf06a145284-1776012037923

0x043321051378d72b71d9f62aadce8bf06a145284

Realised P&L
$-136.35
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$38.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes0.4480.965$32.28+$17.28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8300.785$3.68−$0.21
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0460.019$2.30−$3.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$6.26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$102.16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 19:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8299999979$3.89
10-04 19:29Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?BUY0.4484858669$15.00
10-04 18:17Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0464329897$5.63
06-08 01:14Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.227998811$80.20
05-17 21:42Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.3599999319$2.96
05-17 21:33Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.01$3.18
05-01 14:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.7099999661$3.77
05-01 04:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL0.46$3.90
05-01 04:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.84$6.26
04-29 16:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
04-25 00:45Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0237900386$5.00
04-22 12:18Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.012$3.38
04-17 02:31Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.13$14.04
04-15 12:51Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.191$3.27
04-12 21:44Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0355262948$10.00