0x043321051378d72B71D9F62aAdCE8bf06a145284-1776012037923
0x043321051378d72b71d9f62aadce8bf06a145284
- Realised P&L
- $-136.35
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $38.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.965 | $32.28 | +$17.28 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.785 | $3.68 | −$0.21 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.019 | $2.30 | −$3.33 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.26 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.16 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.718Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-1.27at 0.600Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
- +$-6.62at 0.035Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-15.98at 0.060Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $3.89 |
| 10-04 19:29 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.4484858669 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 18:17 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0464329897 | $5.63 |
| 06-08 01:14 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.227998811 | $80.20 |
| 05-17 21:42 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3599999319 | $2.96 |
| 05-17 21:33 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.18 |
| 05-01 14:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7099999661 | $3.77 |
| 05-01 04:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.90 |
| 05-01 04:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.26 |
| 04-29 16:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 00:45 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0237900386 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 12:18 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.012 | $3.38 |
| 04-17 02:31 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $14.04 |
| 04-15 12:51 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.191 | $3.27 |
| 04-12 21:44 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0355262948 | $10.00 |