irkamoget
0x0431f091aa2a5b76a5975d504247aeb869807e5f
- Realised P&L
- $-30.47
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $29.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet · Francesco Maestrelli | 0.340 | 0.630 | $9.26 | +$4.26 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.610 | 0.735 | $6.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Chile win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Panthers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.340 | 0.265 | $3.90 | −$1.10 |
| Will Belize win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| French Guiana vs. Belize: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| AA Ponte Preta vs. EC Juventude: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants · Lotte Giants | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Peristeri vs. Brose Bamberg · Brose Bamberg | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler · Felix Balshaw | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner · M80 | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs · HULIGANI | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.05at 0.270Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
- +$13.34at 0.280Argentina vs. Benin: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$12.68at 0.290Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5
- +$11.49at 0.310St. Vincent and the Grenadines vs. Sint Maarten: O/U 4.5
- +$11.49at 0.310Set 1 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 03:56 | Will Chile win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:51 | Panthers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:47 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:26 | French Guiana vs. Belize: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 02:05 | Will Belize win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 02:02 | Spread: Nuggets (-0.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:42 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:39 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:35 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:19 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:14 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:11 | Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:06 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.6099999488 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:03 | AA Ponte Preta vs. EC Juventude: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |