PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

depaysement

0x042e80d446019c5a0dc661a8b5fa6e7b06cee021

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$49.0k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9640.981$1.6k+$26.09
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9740.975$1.5k+$1.44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.6240.954$429.77+$148.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 19:16Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.973$19.46
10-19 15:32Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97585$292.75
10-16 00:54Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.964$1.5k
07-06 00:14Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$32.00
06-19 19:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.55$220.00
06-16 21:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4449411765$189.10
06-16 21:55Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?SELL0.1520850226$39.39
06-15 17:15Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.0424118$8.48
06-13 22:23Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.2$80.00
06-13 22:15Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.24$96.00
06-11 16:51Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.015$105.00
06-10 21:52Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?SELL0.7486462036$46.34
06-10 21:39Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?BUY0.7091001$141.82
06-10 16:15Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.6288635573$180.67
06-10 16:13Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.6071747498$39.44