0x0428a0f41e0b88a6e765492d8a533fde84ea7d12
0x0428a0f41e0b88a6e765492d8a533fde84ea7d12
- Realised P&L
- $-644.20
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,240
- Open portfolio
- $208.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,240
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.98at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?
- +$57.67at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?
- +$56.34at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?
- +$53.87at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?
- +$48.02at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-29 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-29 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.465777027 | $5.51 |
| 09-29 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.99 |
| 09-29 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.70 |
| 09-29 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.44 |
| 09-29 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.45 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.60 |
| 09-27 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |