PolyBot

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Traders

0x0428a0f41e0b88a6e765492d8a533fde84ea7d12

0x0428a0f41e0b88a6e765492d8a533fde84ea7d12

Realised P&L
$-644.20
Volume
$33.0k
Markets traded
1,240
Open portfolio
$208.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,240
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 29? · Yes0.4500.995$22.10+$12.10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29? · Yes0.5000.981$19.61+$9.61
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? · Yes0.5300.990$18.65+$8.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29? · Yes0.5600.984$17.04+$7.34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30? · Yes0.4300.525$12.21+$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? · Yes0.5000.595$11.90+$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? · Yes0.5900.655$11.10+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30? · Yes0.4300.440$10.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? · Yes0.6600.615$9.32−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29? · Yes0.4700.715$7.15+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30? · Yes0.4300.435$7.05+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30? · Yes0.4400.450$6.57+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30? · Yes0.4660.510$6.04+$0.52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.715$5.96+$0.96
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.8400.885$5.40+$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 17:20Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30?BUY0.44$2.20
09-29 15:28Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.43$10.00
09-29 09:31Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?BUY0.47$4.70
09-29 07:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?BUY0.465777027$5.51
09-29 06:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.5$10.00
09-29 05:48Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.59$9.99
09-29 04:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?BUY0.56$9.70
09-29 04:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 29?BUY0.46$10.00
09-29 03:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.43$4.44
09-29 03:47Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 29?BUY0.48$10.00
09-29 01:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29?BUY0.5$10.00
09-28 16:43Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 29?BUY0.45$10.00
09-27 12:06Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.62$20.00
09-27 08:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.49$3.60
09-27 07:37Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27?BUY0.48$2.40