PolyBot

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Traders

gaiusjuliuscaesar47

0x04229c6c1ed8372c36fe7d6753441c1953ad232d

Realised P&L
$-4.46
Volume
$351.57
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$63.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3250.355$46.71+$3.91
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4700.560$5.96+$0.96
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.285$5.18−$4.82
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.235$2.87−$2.13
Halle Berry as Storm? · Yes0.2600.125$2.40−$2.60
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$8.80
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Opp.0.5200.000$0.00−$8.84
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 14:11Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.52$2.60
10-26 14:10Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.44$8.80
10-20 07:16Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$2.80
09-27 09:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.299999994$10.00
08-16 09:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.8$5.00
08-14 15:54S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.83$9.96
08-12 12:47S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 12?BUY0.772277214$10.00
08-12 12:43Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?SELL0.993$8.13
08-12 12:35Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.7329999844$10.00
08-12 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.99$6.26
08-12 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.7899999826$5.00
08-12 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.849999983$5.00
08-09 21:22Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
08-09 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.86$5.00
08-09 21:072026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.4099999836$5.00