DavidWhite
0x0422740a35861dda6fd5d2991c276abb3c5f952c
- Realised P&L
- $3.11
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.425 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
| Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.92at 0.756Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.946Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.689Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$-7.52at 0.708Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-22.83at 0.115Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 18:00 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $150.54 |
| 10-07 16:34 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439396291 | $143.54 |
| 10-04 18:34 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.68 | $137.78 |
| 10-04 18:14 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.699999998 | $141.84 |
| 09-28 17:13 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.9013868775 | $324.90 |
| 09-28 16:39 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7490532799 | $270.00 |
| 09-22 15:20 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998776 | $2.00 |
| 11-16 02:24 | Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.17 |
| 11-15 19:21 | Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson? | BUY | 0.115086612 | $25.00 |
| 11-15 19:19 | Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear? | BUY | 0.0229999991 | $25.00 |