PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TrueDignity

0x04143f1dffe487d30200ec45d50763bc54b5be21

Realised P&L
$21.8k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? · No0.6090.745$1.3k+$234.36
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.4840.535$1.3k+$119.78
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? · No0.8090.767$766.99−$42.01
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? · No0.6830.570$183.79−$36.36
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0130.019$64.87+$20.43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.0640.070$34.18+$3.23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? · Yes0.0250.030$28.41+$4.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.0370.041$23.74+$1.89
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0130.012$9.60−$0.80
Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.8100.995$7.96+$1.48
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? · Yes0.0040.004$7.00−$1.00
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? · Yes0.0090.006$4.55−$1.75
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? · Yes0.0090.006$4.55−$1.75
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? · No0.1150.000$0.00−$198.58
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$132.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:49Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.009$6.30
11-01 23:48Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?BUY0.004$8.00
11-01 23:47Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.013$10.40
11-01 18:45Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.5$158.69
11-01 09:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?BUY0.8090129001$809.00
11-01 08:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?BUY0.02525$6.06
10-30 16:19Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.012859215$25.72
10-29 10:30Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.48$25.54
10-28 20:40Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0125042528$5.59
10-28 17:30Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.47$25.85
10-28 10:23Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.4266326531$83.62
10-27 23:03Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.906$462.06
10-27 22:46Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.9295887859$583.91
10-27 22:31Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.9529943075$1.2k
10-27 12:23Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.6827800521$220.16