TrueDignity
0x04143f1dffe487d30200ec45d50763bc54b5be21
- Realised P&L
- $21.8k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.341Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.4kat 0.216Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
- +$2.0kat 0.092Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$1.8kat 0.294Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$1.8kat 0.038Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:49 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? | BUY | 0.009 | $6.30 |
| 11-01 23:48 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 23:47 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.40 |
| 11-01 18:45 | Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.5 | $158.69 |
| 11-01 09:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.8090129001 | $809.00 |
| 11-01 08:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? | BUY | 0.02525 | $6.06 |
| 10-30 16:19 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.012859215 | $25.72 |
| 10-29 10:30 | Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.48 | $25.54 |
| 10-28 20:40 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0125042528 | $5.59 |
| 10-28 17:30 | Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.47 | $25.85 |
| 10-28 10:23 | Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.4266326531 | $83.62 |
| 10-27 23:03 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.906 | $462.06 |
| 10-27 22:46 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.9295887859 | $583.91 |
| 10-27 22:31 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.9529943075 | $1.2k |
| 10-27 12:23 | Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.6827800521 | $220.16 |