PolyBot

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Traders

Psychomer

0x0408c084014487e37e8287d642833e742fa23d68

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$88.3k
Markets traded
1,628
Open portfolio
$40.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,628
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3?BUY0.54$27.00
11-01 16:59Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.0336639169$2.20
11-01 10:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.14$3.53
11-01 10:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2?SELL0.1299876289$6.30
11-01 10:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.06$3.06
11-01 10:06Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.019$0.22
11-01 08:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.05$1.50
11-01 05:46Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.0259114629$1.49
11-01 05:43Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.06$2.91
11-01 05:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.05$0.30
11-01 04:26Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.2121060606$2.94
11-01 04:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.311$0.31
11-01 04:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.3138611111$11.30
11-01 04:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?SELL0.0617993514$2.86
10-31 21:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?SELL0.052984$4.24