Psychomer
0x0408c084014487e37e8287d642833e742fa23d68
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $88.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,628
- Open portfolio
- $40.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,628
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.48at 0.212Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?
- +$118.99at 0.095Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 6?
- +$98.87at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?
- +$89.69at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on December 21?
- +$81.98at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0336639169 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.53 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.1299876289 | $6.30 |
| 11-01 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.06 |
| 11-01 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.22 |
| 11-01 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0259114629 | $1.49 |
| 11-01 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.91 |
| 11-01 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.30 |
| 11-01 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.2121060606 | $2.94 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.311 | $0.31 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.3138611111 | $11.30 |
| 11-01 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0617993514 | $2.86 |
| 10-31 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.052984 | $4.24 |