olesya-ukrainka
0x04082ee02c217b2eb14a47d3aaa95698f4db27de
- Realised P&L
- $-29.85
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $103.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No | 0.981 | 0.968 | $56.14 | −$0.75 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.962 | $47.48 | +$0.22 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.857US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.63at 0.951Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
- +$1.98at 0.964Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.85at 0.982Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?
- +$0.83at 0.982Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 13:02 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $21.12 |