PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

migle

0x03fd83c24116c4fd952d8d12b6b6d4dbc0412e7c

Realised P&L
$632.30
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$120.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 · Yes0.3620.330$34.00−$3.34
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 · Yes0.3790.275$26.49−$10.04
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes0.3390.255$23.05−$7.63
Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 · Yes0.3300.170$19.21−$18.03
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 · Yes0.4070.255$16.41−$9.81
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 · Yes0.4000.365$1.09−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 11:16Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5BUY0.4$1.20
11-02 10:56Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5BUY0.409999997$19.42
11-02 10:55Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5BUY0.4$6.80
11-02 10:52Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5BUY0.3399999998$29.03
11-02 10:52Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5BUY0.33$1.65
11-02 10:51Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5BUY0.3799999978$33.94
11-02 10:51Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5BUY0.37$2.59
11-02 10:50Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5BUY0.37$9.25
11-02 10:50Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5BUY0.359999999$28.09
11-02 10:01Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5BUY0.33$35.64
11-02 10:01Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5BUY0.32$1.60
10-04 21:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2$103.33
10-04 20:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1514192416$90.48
05-24 04:22Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?BUY0.64$41.37
05-21 20:30Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.4399999876$18.41