migle
0x03fd83c24116c4fd952d8d12b6b6d4dbc0412e7c
- Realised P&L
- $632.30
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $120.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 · Yes | 0.362 | 0.330 | $34.00 | −$3.34 |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 · Yes | 0.379 | 0.275 | $26.49 | −$10.04 |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes | 0.339 | 0.255 | $23.05 | −$7.63 |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.330 | 0.170 | $19.21 | −$18.03 |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 · Yes | 0.407 | 0.255 | $16.41 | −$9.81 |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 · Yes | 0.400 | 0.365 | $1.09 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$550.14at 0.180Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$78.04at 0.152Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?
- +$36.65at 0.533Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal?
- +$23.12at 0.447Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?
- +$17.66at 0.025Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be $13m or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:16 | Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 11-02 10:56 | Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.409999997 | $19.42 |
| 11-02 10:55 | Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $6.80 |
| 11-02 10:52 | Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3399999998 | $29.03 |
| 11-02 10:52 | Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 11-02 10:51 | Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.3799999978 | $33.94 |
| 11-02 10:51 | Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.37 | $2.59 |
| 11-02 10:50 | Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.37 | $9.25 |
| 11-02 10:50 | Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.359999999 | $28.09 |
| 11-02 10:01 | Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $35.64 |
| 11-02 10:01 | Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-04 21:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $103.33 |
| 10-04 20:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1514192416 | $90.48 |
| 05-24 04:22 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26? | BUY | 0.64 | $41.37 |
| 05-21 20:30 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.4399999876 | $18.41 |